We told you yesterday about the young Texas Rangers fan who caught two Josh Hamilton foul balls Sunday during one AB.
Now he has a full name. CJ Ramsey of Cedar Hill, Texas. The smiling kid is starting to gain traction as a cult hero for the week of August 17, 2009.
And now the odds have been calculated on CJ catching two foul balls during one game. Still efforting odds on catching two in one AB.
â€¢ Catching two foul balls in one game = 3.3 million to 1.
â€¢ Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1
â€¢ Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1
â€¢ Odds of spotting a UFO today: 1 in 3,000,000
â€¢ Odds of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564
â€¢ Odds of dying from food poisoning: 1 in 3,000,000
â€¢ Odds of being wrongly declared dead by a Social Security data entry mistake: 1 in 23,483
Last season at a Dodgers game a couple of fans thought they accomplished something unheard of in foul ball catching circles. Fans seated next to each other caught foul balls on back-to-back pitches.
But USC mathematics professor Kenneth Alexander used Wednesday’s Dodger Stadium crowd size and game statistics — attendance of 40,696 and foul ball count of 48 — to postulate the odds against Walker and Castro catching back-to-back fouls.
Calculating that only one of 18 pitches were fouled into the stands (other fouls stayed on the playing field) and factoring in the six fans sitting close by the pair, Alexander fielded the answer.
“One in 10,000 is the probability” that the pair would catch two fouls in a row, he concluded. He cautioned, however, that his specialty is probability theory in mathematical physics.
Yeah, that’s cool but the Rangers kid has the issue of age (not yet into his baseball catching prime) and having to battle those Red Sox fans.
C.J.’s father nearly missed the entire foul ball catching series while on a hot dog run but recognized his son on the concession TV.
“I happened to look up on the monitor on the TV and I said that looks like CJ,” Scott Ramsey said. “And, I’m watching and I said that looks like CJ. IT IS CJ. He just caught a foul ball. And I said, how great is that.”
Then a moment later he heard a roar in the stadium. “I said oh, they’re showing it again. And I thought, wait a minute, that’s a different catch. That’s another foul ball. HE CAUGHT TWO FOUL BALLS. And I could see where everybody was giving him a standing ovation.”